Picks against the spread for week 2 NFL games

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Picks against the spread for week 2 NFL games

liny195
 The 2018 NFL season is officially in full swing [url=http://www.49erscheapstore.com/nick-mullens-jersey-cheap]Nick Mullens 49ers Jersey[/url] , which means regular season betting is back. I’m back for another year of picks in the Westgate SuperContest. SB Nation’s partners over at Odds Shark are sponsoring my entry again. The contest requires selecting 5 games each week and picking them against the spread. I managed a 4-0-1 performance in Week 1, so I’m certainly pleased with that. Fingers crossed for a decent performance in Week 2.I was pondering the San Francisco 49ers with one of the Week 2 picks, but I just could not pull the trigger. The 49ers head into the game favored by between six and seven points, with the SuperContest line at six. I think they beat the Detroit Lions, but there are so many question marks between these two teams. The Lions were a disaster on Monday Night Football, and edge rusher Ezekiel Ansah is questionable for the game. The Lions defense is shaky at best, so I think we see the 49ers offense rebounds well this week.It’s the other side of the ball where I am concerned. The 49ers should have an advantage against the Lions guards. Frank Ragnow struggled in Week 1, and T.J. Lang is out with a back injury. DeForest Buckner, Arik Armstead, and Solomon Thomas could do some big work inside, but my concern is with the Lions receivers. Golden Tate, Marvin Jones, and Kenny Golladay present a serious test for the 49ers secondary. If the 49ers pass rush does not bring the heat, it could be a long day.The line on this game opened at 49ers -3.5, but that ugly MNF game quickly swing the line to its current position. They say you should play the number not the team. I really don’t like seeing that kind of movement given the questions surrounding the 49ers. And so, after all that, I decided not to use them in the SuperContest.Here are my five SuperContest picks for Week 2.Texans (PK) over TITANSSTEELERS (-4) over ChiefsSAINTS (-8.5) over BrownsBRONCOS (-6) over RaidersGiants (+3) over COWBOYSI was not overly enamored with a lot of the lines this week. The pick that might scare me the most of this group is Steelers over Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes and Co. looked phenomenal last week, while the Steelers couldn’t manage more than a tie against the Browns. I have a feeling we see Pittsburgh rebound against a bad Chiefs defense.The Giants-Cowboys game could be a fun one. The Cowboys offensive line, normally a strength, is dealing with a lot of problems. Most notably, losing center Travis Frederick indefinitely is as big an issue as any team is facing from a non-QB loss. A road dog is not the best of options, but after a solid enough showing against a strong Jaguars team last week, I think the Giants are a live one.I went 9-6-1 overall in Week 1. Here are all my picks for Week 2:BENGALS vs. Ravens (PK): Bengals — WinWASHINGTON vs. Colts (+6): WashingtonFALCONS vs. Panthers (+6): FalconsPACKERS vs. Vikings (-7): PackersBILLS vs. Chargers (-7): BillsTITANS vs. Texans (PK): TexansSTEELERS vs. Chiefs (+4): SteelersJETS vs. Dolphins (+2.5): DolphinsBUCCANEERS vs. Eagles (-3.5): BucsSAINTS vs. Browns (+8.5): SaintsRAMS vs. Cardinals (+12.5): Cardinals49ERS vs. Lions (+6): 49ersJAGUARS vs. Patriots (-1): JaguarsBRONCOS vs. Raiders (+6): BroncosCOWBOYS vs. Giants (+3): GiantsBEARS vs. Seahawks (+3.5): Bears The San Francisco 49ers lost to the Los Angeles Rams by a final score of 39-10 in Week 8 [url=http://www.sanfrancisco49ersteamonline.com/george-kittle-jersey]Authentic George Kittle Jersey[/url] , and it was in fact the end result of a poor showing by san Francisco. However as with most NFL games there’s the story inside the score that gives a different complexion to the final score. Considering the Rams scored 24 points off Niner turnovers, a positive thinker such as myself sees the score as 15-10. Take nothing away from the Rams, they’re a great team. The Rams had a solid defensive plan and executed it. Our offense struggled to execute their plan and that was the turning point in the game. The glaring stat of the night was four total catches by the 49ers wide receivers for 35 yards. It almost seems mind boggling that number can be true for a team led by an offensive mind such as Kyle Shanahan. However, in reviewing the tape, there were several factors that led to such an underwhelming performance. Reason number one being number 99. Aaron Donald went off. Literally every passing play that I watched, if he was in the game, he was in C.J. Beathard’s hip pocket by the time he reached the top of his drop. He terrorized the offense the entire game. This prevented Beathard from getting to those outside progressions and deep routes that the team loves to run off of play action. By the time Beathard turned around after the run fake, Donald was in his face.Reason number two being the Rams defensive scheme. Given Donald’s interior dominance they rarely blitz and often rushed four and put seven in coverage. This created tight window throws on the outside, which just isn’t Beathard’s thing. They also bracketed Marquise Goodwin with two defenders. The Rams played coverage and simply dared the 49ers to run, and hit over the middle passes, which we did. George Kittle had a solid game with five catches 98 yards and a touchdown. Reason number three being C.J. Beathard. He’s still a young QB who doesn’t yet trust his eyes. One thing I love about Jimmy Garoppolo is his ability to throw with anticipation. That’s big boy football. Letting the ball go, throwing into an area where a receiver isn’t, is how the best QBs in the league make a living. Beathard hasn’t gotten there yet. While I think he has a good arm, and can make some big league throws, he still struggles with hitting his back foot and letting it rip consistently. Let’s get into the film.Let’s start with the anticipation point to which I was referring. These next two clips are some examples of what I saw in the game. Now I’m not saying by any means that these throws are slam dunks. These are throws however that I’ve seen Jimmy and other top tier quarterbacks make. Our first clip shows Trent Taylor running a post deep over the middle. He’s not initially open, but the safety plays the route too shallow and susceptible to a pass over his head. Beathard doesn’t trust it, and while he runs for a nice gain, this is where I’d like to see him evolve.Another anticipation clip. Kendrick Bourne has a step on the route and again with an accurate touch pass, he can run into an open area. The throw takes anticipation however, because when Beathard reaches the top of his drop, he’s not necessarily open but given the position of the defenders and the speed at which Bourne is running, there’s an opening. Instead Beathard steps up, which isn’t a bad move [url=http://www.sanfrancisco49ersteamonline.com/weston-richburg-jersey]http://www.sanfrancisco49ersteamonline.com/weston-richburg-jersey[/url] , but then he doesn’t set his feet and throws an inaccurate pass over the middle which gets picked off.From what I saw, I believe Kyle adjusted to the Rams coverage tactics by using the wide receivers as decoys, he saw that they were getting focused on. Also the Rams linebacker corps could be considered the weak link in what is ultimately a stout defense. So, Shanahan used his receivers the clear out space and create open passes for his tight ends and running backs. In our first clip, you can see Goodwin attract three defenders, even one from the far opposite side of the field. This leaves Kittle in a wide open area for a big gain.Gar莽on runs a similar clear out route. Notice how he specifically runs right at the deep safety to keep him occupied, while Kittle runs free off the play action pass. It’s an effective concept and moving the pocket gave Beathard time to get off an accurate pass.Here’s another play where Gar莽on creates a decoy for Kittle to get open, but Beathard just misses the throw because of the pressure in his face. Kittle runs the wheel route and beats the linebacker. The deep safety bites on the short route by Gar莽on and almost gives up the big play. Beathard can’t properly step into the throw an actually steps on the foot of his offensive lineman as he releases the ball.Here’s another good play, where Gar莽on runs deep middle, and Goodwin runs a drag across the formation to clear out the defense for a screen pass Mostert runs for a good gain. Where was this play later on in the match up however?There were a few plays that the 49ers simply didn’t connect. Just like the tight end wheel route above that was open, but missed. Here’s an example. Beathard does a good job, of looking off the deep safety, but just misses Goodwin on the deep route. They normally have a great rapport on deep balls but it looks like Goodwin stumbled getting around the defender which caused him to be out of position for the throw and catch. Beathard threw it outside, Goodwin went inside.The main reason the 49ers couldn’t get anything going was this guy. Aaron Donald was simply unblockable. He often took on two offensive lineman and beat them both. The 49ers had no answer. He prevented any consistent deep routes, and often stopped the running game short. Not to mention, he himself caused a fumble and recovered it when Breida coughed it up early in the game. Anytime you end a play and two of your lineman are on the ground, and a third is hunched over in disappointment. It’s a bad play, and it was a bad day for that unit.In hindsight, the Rams have beat everyone they faced this season this way. However in context, we’ve turned the ball over against everyone we faced this season just the same. This week’s matchup versus the Arizona Cardinals gives the 49ers a small chance at redemption. Will the turnovers continue? I hope not. Can Kyle and Co finally put together a solid game offensively to match the defense which has quietly been improving week by week? I hope so. Go Niners!